SEC showdown pits Gators against Wildcats

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

03/07/2010 - Lexington, KY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The third-ranked Kentucky Wildcats close out the regular season this afternoon with an SEC clash against the Florida Gators, who need a victory to help their NCAA Tournament prospects.

Losses in the last two games have dropped Florida to 20-10 overall and 9-6 in conference, and the club is considered "on the bubble" as the SEC Tournament approaches. The two losses during the current slide have come by a total of six points, including a 64-60 setback at home to Vanderbilt on Tuesday. There is no question that a win over Kentucky on the road this afternoon would do wonders for the Gators' resume'.

The Wildcats clinched at least a share of their 44th SEC title with an 80-68 victory over Georgia on Wednesday, and they earned the outright title by virtue of Vanderbilt's loss yesterday. At 28-2 overall, including 13-2 versus league foes, it seems that Kentucky is a lock to receive a No. 1 seed in the upcoming NCAA Tournament. The squad has dominated the SEC Tournament over the years and will be the favorite to win that event for sure.

Kentucky beat Florida by a 77-89 final on January 12th, and the Wildcats own a commanding 87-32 series advantage over the Gators.

Florida is generating 71.7 ppg this season while allowing 64.7 ppg to opponents. There are five double-digit scorers in the fold, and Kenny Boynton leads the way with 13.5 ppg despite his 36.8 percent shooting. Erving Walker, the team's second-leading scorer, provides 12.7 ppg despite his abysmal 34.8 percent field goal efficiency. On a positive note, Walker has dished out 151 assists, more than double his turnover total, and he tops the club with 45 steals as well. Chandler Parsons (12.0 ppg, 6.8 rpg), Alex Tyus (11.8 ppg, 7.0 rpg) and Vernon Macklin (10.7 ppg) are solid contributors as well. Macklin posted 21 points and nine rebounds from his center position against Vanderbilt on Tuesday, but he was the only Gator to reach double figures in scoring. Florida shot just 36.5 percent from the field and went ice cold down the stretch.

Not only are John Wall and DeMarcus Cousins two of the best players in all of college basketball, but the freshmen may be the top two picks in the next NBA Draft if they decide to leave Kentucky after only one season. Wall is a dynamic point guard who is averaging 17.0 ppg to go along with 6.2 apg, 4.1 rpg and 54 steals. Cousins, a beast on the low block, brings 15.9 ppg and 10.1 rpg to the mix to complement his team-high 54 blocked shots. While Cousins is shooting 54.5 percent from the floor, Patrick Patterson (15.0 ppg, 10.1 rpg) is even more efficient at 58.8 percent. Rounding out a foursome of double- digit scorers is Eric Bledsoe with 10.3 ppg. The Wildcats are netting 79.9 ppg while holding opponents to 65.6 ppg on 38.2 percent shooting. Against Georgia on Wednesday, Wall scored 24 points and handed out six assists. Patterson tallied 17 points and 10 rebounds, while Darnell Dodson posted 11 points. The Wildcats shot 54.5 percent from the field in that clash and overcame a 38-28 rebounding deficit.

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MySportsbook.com: New College Football Clock Rules Examined

Coaches and bettors alike are desperate to make sense of the new time-keeping rules on the NCAA gridiron. One of the big stories to come out of the Ohio State-Texas clash last weekend was Texas coach Mack Brown's criticism of the NCAA's new clock rules that are intended to shorten the duration of college football games, therefore affecting college football betting.

"They scored with six minutes left and the game was over before we had a chance to do anything," Brown told ESPN.com. "I really hope whoever made these changes will go back and look them over."

Sure, it might be sour grapes; the Buckeyes thoroughly trounced the defending national champion Longhorns 24-7. However, Brown isn't alone in giving the changes their due thought. Bettors are also wondering about them, albeit for a completely different reason. Most experts agree that the changes will result in games being shortened by anywhere from 10 to 20 plays. The obvious consequence is lower scores, with more time rolling off the clock during changes of possession. (The Ohio State-Texas game flew well under the total of 52.)

According to research at the online sportsbook MySportsbook.com, more than 18 plays a game disappeared last weekend into thin air. That's a 10-percent reduction. In 2005, a typical game had 168.58 plays. For 2007 already, it's down to 150.26.

As a result, teams combined to gain an average of about 100 fewer yards a game last weekend versus the 2005 openers. Scoring was also down by about 4.5 points (attention Las Vegas sports lines).

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Other angles to consider:A shorter game should theoretically result in shorter lines. Whereas Team A might have been a 14-point favorite in a 168-play game (last year), if there are 10 percent less snaps in 2007, the line should also be reduced by 10 percent (to 13 or 12.5). Of course, this is an over-simplification of the matter, but something to keep in mind.
Less possessions means a better chance the game will be decided by three or seven points. For example, what might have been a 20-10 final score in 2005 may end at

17-10 in 2007. Granted, a 24-17 game last year might end at 21-17 these days, but the former - a three- or seven-point advantage being preserved as opposed to created - is the most likely scenario.

*UPDATE* - Sept. 25, 2007

New Clock Rules Boon for online bookmakers

By adjusting the time-keeping rules to shorten the duration of college football games, the NCAA hoped to make its product more enjoyable for the fans. While the NCAA's success in this regard is still up for debate, bookmakers couldn't be happier with the results.

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